Wednesday, June 18, 2014

Chapter Thirteen - 2012 Stats - Where the Money Comes From

In 2012 United Methodist congregations in the U.S. received approximately 5.5 billion dollars for their annual budgets and a little more than a billion dollars of designated giving. For comparison, this is about the same as the combined Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Sierra Leone and Liberia.

If you combine all of the income received for the general budget for churches of at least five members:
• About 45% comes from pledges
• About 43% comes from non-pledging but identified givers
• About 4% comes from unidentified givers
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, building use fees, interest and dividends, and other sources

Of the income that is received for designated projects:
• About 47% is a result of capital campaigns
• About 11% is received for directed benevolent giving including Advance Specials
• About 5% comes from connectional and institutional sources outside the church such as grants and equitable salary support
• About 25% comes from memorials, endowments, and bequests
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, projects, and other sources.

The ratio of general budget income to designated income is 5.4 to 1. (So for every $1 of designated income there is $5.40 of general budget income.)

I thought it might be interesting to see if there were any differences in these patterns if we looked at it by jurisdiction. You will find the breakout below. I few things that surprised me were:
• The Northeastern Jurisdiction has the lowest percentage of pledgers and the Western Jurisdiction has the highest.
• The Northeastern Jurisdiction has the highest ratio of general budget income to designated income and the North Central Jurisdiction has the lowest.
• The South Central Jurisdiction has the highest percentage of designated income coming from capital campaigns and the Northeastern  Jurisdiction has the lowest.

In the Northeastern Jurisdiction, if you combine all of the income received for the general budget for churches of at least five members:
• About 38% comes from pledges
• About 40% comes from non-pledging but identified givers
• About 7% comes from unidentified givers
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, building use fees, interest and dividends, and other sources

Of the income that is received for designated projects:
• About 37% is a result of capital campaigns
• About 13% is received for directed benevolent giving including Advance Specials
• About 5% comes from connectional and institutional sources outside the church such as grants and equitable salary support
• About 34% comes from memorials, endowments, and bequests
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, projects, and other sources.

The ratio of general budget income to designated income is 6.7 to 1. (So for every $1 of designated income there is $6.70 of general budget income.)

In the Southeastern Jurisdiction, if you combine all of the income received for the general budget for churches of at least five members:
• About 44% comes from pledges
• About 47% comes from non-pledging but identified givers
• About 4% comes from unidentified givers
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, building use fees, interest and dividends, and other sources

Of the income that is received for designated projects:
• About 49% is a result of capital campaigns
• About 11% is received for directed benevolent giving including Advance Specials
• About 4% comes from connectional and institutional sources outside the church such as grants and equitable salary support
• About 22% comes from memorials, endowments, and bequests
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, projects, and other sources.

The ratio of general budget income to designated income is 6 to 1. (So for every $1 of designated income there is $6 of general budget income.)

In the Western Jurisdiction, if you combine all of the income received for the general budget for churches of at least five members:
• About 52% comes from pledges
• About 30% comes from non-pledging but identified givers
• About 3% comes from unidentified givers
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, building use fees, interest and dividends, and other sources

Of the income that is received for designated projects:
• About 38% is a result of capital campaigns
• About 12% is received for directed benevolent giving including Advance Specials
• About 7% comes from connectional and institutional sources outside the church such as grants and equitable salary support
• About 36% comes from memorials, endowments, and bequests
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, projects, and other sources.

The ratio of general budget income to designated income is 5.6 to 1. (So for every $1 of designated income there is $5.60 of general budget income.)

In the South Central Jurisdiction, if you combine all of the income received for the general budget for churches of at least five members:
• About 49% comes from pledges
• About 42% comes from non-pledging but identified givers
• About 3% comes from unidentified givers
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, building use fees, interest and dividends, and other sources

Of the income that is received for designated projects:
• About 55% is a result of capital campaigns
• About 8% is received for directed benevolent giving including Advance Specials
• About 4% comes from connectional and institutional sources outside the church such as grants and equitable salary support
• About 19% comes from memorials, endowments, and bequests
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, projects, and other sources.

The ratio of general budget income to designated income is 4.7 to 1. (So for every $1 of designated income there is $4.70 of general budget income.)

In the North Central Jurisdiction, if you combine all of the income received for the general budget for churches of at least five members:
• About 46% comes from pledges
• About 43% comes from non-pledging but identified givers
• About 4% comes from unidentified givers
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, building use fees, interest and dividends, and other sources

Of the income that is received for designated projects:
• About 44% is a result of capital campaigns
• About 13% is received for directed benevolent giving including Advance Specials
• About 4% comes from connectional and institutional sources outside the church such as grants and equitable salary support
• About 28% comes from memorials, endowments, and bequests
• The rest comes primarily from fundraisers, projects, and other sources.

The ratio of general budget income to designated income is 4.7 to 1. (So for every $1 of designated income there is $4.70 of general budget income.)


The statistical data included herein were provided at no charge by the General Council on Finance and Administration of The United Methodist Church (GCFA) and may be obtained directly from GCFA, PO Box 340020, Nashville, TN 37203-0029. This data is proprietary and is owned by GCFA and may not be used in any commercial or exploitative way, to make a financial profit, or in a manner that defames the United Methodist denomination or its agencies or organizations. GCFA does not endorse any particular use of the data or accept responsibility for its interpretation or analysis by another.

Monday, June 9, 2014

Chapter Twelve - 2012 Stats- Baptized Members, Constituents, and Professing Members

Before 1996, baptized children who had not been confirmed were not considered "full members" of the church. Baptized infants and children  were placed on the "preparatory roll." These children were kept on the preparatory membership roll until they were confirmed and received into "full membership." If by age nineteen, they had not been received into full membership, they were moved to the constituency roll. The constituency roll included unbaptized children (including dedicated children) and other people who were not members but for whom the local congregation had pastoral responsibility. The Discipline mandated that the congregation accurately maintain all three rolls. In practice, some churches placed all of their children on their preparatory roll, regardless of whether they were baptized or not.

In 1996, By Water and the Spirit was adopted by General Conference as our official understanding of baptism, clarifying that, "Baptism is the sacrament of initiation and incorporation into the Body of Christ. An infant, child, or adult who is baptized becomes a member of the catholic (universal) Church, of the denomination, and of the local congregation."  Although it took eight more years and a constitutional amendment, by 2004 the Disciplinary language was in place to allow our record keeping to be consistent with our theology of baptism. The definition of membership in The United Methodist Church includes baptized members and professing members. For statistical purposes, church membership numbers are based on the roll of professing members. The church is to keep an accurate membership record of its baptized and professing members. In addition it is to maintain a constituency roll with names and addresses of others for whom it has pastoral responsibility, including unbaptized children. 

However, I think the reported statistics indicate that many pastors and congregations have a muddled understanding of  baptized members, professing members, and constituents. And if our record keeping reflects our theology, then we have many who have an equally muddled understanding of our theology of baptism as articulated in By Water and the Spirit.

Here are a few examples of churches from around the country (one from each jurisdiction) that appear to have very curious numbers:
• A large church in Texas that has 692 children in Christian Formation, has a professing membership of 4191,  baptized 40 people in 2012, has 2280 constituents, but  only has 25 baptized members.  (Hmm — 692 children and no more than 25 have been baptized?)
• A large church in Georgia that has 9245 professing members, 9035 baptized members, baptized 29 people in 2012, has 545 children in Christian Formation, but has 0 constituents. (Hmm — all of the children in the church have been baptized, so none of them are on the constituency roll?)
• A church in Ohio with 227 children in Christian Formation,  5 people in confirmation,   5 professions of faith, but did no baptisms, has no baptized members, and has no constituents. (Hmm – so they have 227 children in Christian Formation who aren't baptized members or constituents?)
• A church in Maryland that has 313 children in Christian Formation, 862 professing members, 316 constituents, baptized 20 people in 2012, had 5 professions of faith, and has zero baptized members. (Hmm – so even if we assume that all 5 of the professions of faith were previously non-baptized, what happened to the other 15 people who were baptized? How can they possibly have no baptized members?)
• A church in Idaho that has 530 professing members, 231 children in Christian formation, 182 constituents, baptized 9 people in 2012, had 15 professions of faith, and has zero baptized members. (Hmm – 231 children, none are baptized, and at most only 182 are constituents? )

I wish these were rare examples, unfortunately it seems to be more the norm. Of congregations with at least five members:
• 46% indicated that they had zero baptized members, even though more than half of those same congregations indicated they had children in Christian Formation. While technically it would be possible for none of those children to be baptized and thus be constituents, it is highly unlikely.
• 27% indicated that they had zero baptized members and zero constituents, even though close to half of those same congregations indicated they had children in Christian Formation. If you have children in Christian Formation then the church has some sort of pastoral responsibility for them. They are either baptized members or they are constituents. 
• 35% indicated they had zero constituents, even though more than half of those same congregations indicated that they had children in Christian Formation. In order for that to be possible, every child would need to be baptized and they would have no other non professing members who participate in the life of the congregation.
• 6% indicated that they had fewer baptized members than they had number of baptisms in 2012 minus professions of faith in 2012. Even if you assume that every single profession of faith in these churches was made by people not previously baptized (their professions of faith and baptisms occurring at the same time, moving them from constituents to professing members) there would still be "left-over" (poor choice of words) baptized members. The only way for that to be mathematically possible is if there are lots of baptisms being performed for children not living in the community. In these cases the pastor is responsible for seeing that the children are added as baptized members in the community where they actually live.

I think that underlying these baffling numbers is something more significant than just sloppy record keeping. Here are some things I wonder about:
• How can we "seek, welcome, and gather people into the body of Christ"  (¶122 Discipline) if we don't claim people as constituents for whom we have some responsibility?
• How would community life change if  clergy and laity more fully integrated our theological understanding of baptism into congregational life?
• What does it indicate about the value we place on children, if even in our most basic record keeping their names are not recorded?
• How many of our laity can clearly articulate the difference between baptized members, professing members, and constituents and how that relates to our baptismal covenant?
• What would congregations discover about their members and their community if they had up-to-date and accurate rolls of baptized members and constituents?

The statistical data included herein were provided at no charge by the General Council on Finance and Administration of The United Methodist Church (GCFA) and may be obtained directly from GCFA, PO Box 340020, Nashville, TN 37203-0029. This data is proprietary and is owned by GCFA and may not be used in any commercial or exploitative way, to make a financial profit, or in a manner that defames the United Methodist denomination or its agencies or organizations. GCFA does not endorse any particular use of the data or accept responsibility for its interpretation or analysis by another.

Wednesday, June 4, 2014

Chapter Eleven - 2012 Stats - Membership Gains Related to VBS and Other Things

This chapter looks in more depth at the ways we gained membership in 2012 and slices and dices in a variety of ways. In various categories we look proportionately at how membership was gained (in congregations that had people participating in VBS, 49% of membership gains were from professions of faith), and we also examine the total numbers in various categories compared to the whole (congregations that had people participating in VBS accounted for 84% of all professions of faith in the UMC).

After looking at several different categories, there were no huge differences that popped out related to how people gained members. Just about anyway you slice it, about half of the new members are gained by profession of faith, a little more than a fourth by transfer from another United Methodist Church, and a little less than a fourth come from another denomination or are restored members. 

However, when you start looking at total numbers, some very interesting things emerge.
• 65% of all congregations have at least one community outreach ministry, and those congregations account for 86% of all professions of faith
• 60% of all congregations have both children and youth in Christian formation, and those congregations account for 90% of all professions of faith
• 55% of all congregations have VBS, and those congregations account for 84% of all professions of faith.
• 54% of all congregations have United Methodist Women, and those congregations account for 71% of all professions of faith
• 30% of all congregations have United Methodist Men, and those congregations account for 48% of all professions of faith
• 26% of all congregations have  confirmation classes, and those congregations account for 67% of all professions of faith
• 26% of all congregations have both United Methodist Men and Women, and those congregations account for 43% of all professions of faith
• 25% of all congregations have a day care ministry, and those congregations account for 58% of all professions of faith

(Note: by subtracting these numbers from 100%, you can calculate the converse of each situation mentioned. So for example, 45% of congregations do not have VBS and they account for 16% of all professions of faith)

It is important to remember that correlation does not imply causation. Just because the total number of professions of faith of congregations with VBS was more than five times the total number of professions of faith in congregations without VBS, does not mean that VBS causes people to profess faith in Christ. These figures do prompt questions. They make be wonder:
• What would happen if the 45% of all congregations that don't have Vacation Bible School teamed with one or more congregations to offer a VBS experience?
• What would happen if the 65% of all congregations that have at least one community outreach ministry added one more outreach ministry in the next year?
• What would happen if the 75% of all congregations that don't have a day care ministry did a community audit to assess the need for day care in their community?


Here are some of the breakouts for some of the statistics listed about. All statistics are based on congregations with at least five members.
Of all reported membership gains in 2012
49% were professions of faith (124,598)
27% were received from other United Methodist Churches (69,051)
20% were received from other denominations (50,023)
5% were restored members (12,443)
Total Number of people: 256115 
32,440 congregations

Membership gains of congregations that had people participating in Vacation Bible School 
49% were professions of faith (104,613)
27% were received from other United Methodist Churches (58,284)
20% were received from other denominations (42,805)
5% were restored members (9868)
Total Number of people: 215570
Total Number of congregations: 17,924
55% of all congregations
84%  of all membership gains in the United Methodist Church
84% of all professions of faith

Membership gains of congregations that had zero people participating in Vacation Bible School 
49% were professions of faith (19,985)
27% were received from other United Methodist Churches (10,767)
18% were received from other denominations (7,218)
6% were restored members (2575)
Total Number of people: 40,545
Total Number of congregations: 14,516
45% of all congregations
16%  of all membership gains in the United Methodist Church
16% of all professions of faith

Membership gains of congregations that had at least one person enrolled in confirmation class
50% were professions of faith (83,280)
26% were received from other United Methodist Churches (42,831)
19% were received from other denominations (32,264)
5% were restored members (7925)
Total Number of people: 166,300
Total Number of congregations: 8390
26% of all congregations
65%  of all membership gains in the United Methodist Church
67% of all professions of faith

Membership gains of congregations that had at no one enrolled in confirmation class
50% were professions of faith (41,318)
26% were received from other United Methodist Churches (26,220)
19% were received from other denominations (17,759)
5% were restored members (4518)
Total Number of people: 90715
Total Number of congregations: 24050
74% of all congregations
35%  of all membership gains in the United Methodist Church
33% of all professions of faith

Membership gains of congregations that had at least one community outreach ministry
49% were professions of faith (107,392)
27% were received from other United Methodist Churches (59,263)
20% were received from other denominations (43,230)
5% were restored members (10,771)
Total Number of people: 220,656
Total Number of congregations: 21,006
65% of all congregations
86%  of all membership gains in the United Methodist Church
86% of all professions of faith

Membership gains of congregations that had no community outreach ministry
49% were professions of faith (17,206)
27% were received from other United Methodist Churches (9788)
20% were received from other denominations (6793)
5% were restored members (1672)
Total Number of people: 35,459
Total Number of congregations: 11,374
35% of all congregations
14%  of all membership gains in the United Methodist Church
14% of all professions of faith

The statistical data included herein were provided at no charge by the General Council on Finance and Administration of The United Methodist Church (GCFA) and may be obtained directly from GCFA, PO Box 340020, Nashville, TN 37203-0029. This data is proprietary and is owned by GCFA and may not be used in any commercial or exploitative way, to make a financial profit, or in a manner that defames the United Methodist denomination or its agencies or organizations. GCFA does not endorse any particular use of the data or accept responsibility for its interpretation or analysis by another.

Monday, June 2, 2014

Chapter Ten— 2012 Stats — The Charge Conference Effect and Membership Loss

Chapter Eight  focused on membership loss across the past six years. This chapter looks more in depth at membership losses in 2012. Of particular note is what I call the "charge conference effect." It is distressing  that the statistic that jumps out most prominently is that churches that reported an increase in membership showed that 46% of their membership loss came from deaths and 12% from charge conference removal , and churches that showed no change in membership reported that 60% of their loss came from deaths and 10% from charge conference removal. On the other hand, churches that had decreased in membership between 2011 and 2012 reported that 28% of their membership loss came from deaths and 39% from charge conference removal. 

Rather than being an indicator of church health, a case might be made that an increase in membership is more likely to be an indicator of sloppy membership records. I wonder what would happen, if every church that recorded no change or a membership increase in 2012 was required to do a membership audit and document compliance with Paragraph 228.1 to 228.4 of the Discipline?

If we compare churches that removed at least one person by charge conference action with churches that had zero charge conference removals, we see some interesting numbers related to worship attendance. While churches that removed at least one person by charge conference action had a combined membership loss of nearly 5%, they showed a worship attendance decline of just 1.19%. On the other hand, churches that had zero charge conference removals showed a combined membership increase of .29%, but they showed an even larger decline in worship attendance at –1.36%.

We see the effect even more clearly when looking just at churches that declined in worship attendance. Those churches that declined in worship attendance and had at least one charge conference removal showed a membership decline of 6.13% and worship attendance decline of 7.82%. So their worship attendance was declining at a slightly higher rate than their membership decline. In comparison, churches that declined in worship attendance but had no charge conference removals showed a combined membership decline of only .59% but a worship decline of 11.15%. So the worship attendance was not only declining at a much higher rate than their membership decline, it was declining at a higher rate than those churches that had removed people by charge conference.

Below you will find various ways of looking at the loss of members in 2012. These figures are based on churches of at least five members. I hope they raise interesting questions for you. 

Of all reported membership losses in 2012:
33% were a result of death
32% were removed by charge conference action
14% withdrew 
14% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
8% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 295,297
Number of Churches: 32440
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: -.91%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: -1.32%

Membership loss of churches that reported an increase in membership
46% were a result of death
12% were removed by charge conference action
10% withdrew 
20% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
11% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 71,538
Number of Churches: 11102
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: +3.31%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: +1.31%

Membership loss of churches that reported a decrease in membership
28% were a result of death
39% were removed by charge conference action
14% withdrew 
12% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
8% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 216748
Number of Churches: 15053
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: -5.3%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: -3.86%

Membership loss of churches that reported no change in membership
60% were a result of death
10% were removed by charge conference action
7% withdrew 
15% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
8% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 6941
Number of Churches: 6285
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: 0%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: -3.63%

Membership loss of churches that reported at least one person removed by charge conference action
15% were a result of death
62% were removed by charge conference action
10% withdrew 
8% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
5% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 152113
Number of Churches: 4009
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: -4.96%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: -1.19%

Membership loss of churches that reported zero charge conference removals
52% were a result of death
0% were removed by charge conference action
16% withdrew 
20% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
12% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 143114
Number of Churches: 28431
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: +.29%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: -1.36%

Membership loss of churches that reported an increase in average worship attendance
34% were a result of death
31% were removed by charge conference action
13% withdrew 
14% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
8% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 106517
Number of Churches: 11274
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: +.55%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: +10.83%

Membership loss of churches that reported a decrease in average worship attendance
31% were a result of death
33% were removed by charge conference action
13% withdrew 
14% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
9% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 170631
Number of Churches: 15377
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: -1.91%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: -10.29%

Membership loss of churches that reported no change in average worship attendance
44% were a result of death
26% were removed by charge conference action
13% withdrew 
11% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
6% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 18079
Number of Churches: 5789
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: -1.34%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: 0%

Membership loss of churches that reported an increase in average worship attendance and zero charge conference removals
52% were a result of death
0% were removed by charge conference action
16% withdrew 
20% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
12% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 51547
Number of Churches: 9770
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: +1.68%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: +11.94%

Membership loss of churches that reported an increase in average worship attendance and at least one charge conference removal 
16% were a result of death
60% were removed by charge conference action
10% withdrew 
8% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
5% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 54970
Number of Churches:1504
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: -3.13%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: +7.74%

Membership loss of churches that reported a decrease in average worship attendance and zero charge conference removals  
50% were a result of death
0% were removed by charge conference action
16% withdrew 
20% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
13% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 80745
Number of Churches:13211
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: -.59%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: -11.15%

Membership loss of churches that reported a decrease in average worship attendance and at least one charge conference removal 
14% were a result of death
63% were removed by charge conference action
10% withdrew 
8% transferred to another United Methodist congregation
4% transferred to another denomination
Total Number: 89906
Number of Churches:2166
Membership change from 2011 to 2012: -6.13%
Worship attendance change from 2011 to 2012: -7.82%


The statistical data included herein were provided at no charge by the General Council on Finance and Administration of The United Methodist Church (GCFA) and may be obtained directly from GCFA, PO Box 340020, Nashville, TN 37203-0029. This data is proprietary and is owned by GCFA and may not be used in any commercial or exploitative way, to make a financial profit, or in a manner that defames the United Methodist denomination or its agencies or organizations. GCFA does not endorse any particular use of the data or accept responsibility for its interpretation or analysis by another.